September 29, 2020

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UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar odds, predictions: MMA insider releases surprising fight card picks

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Frankie Edgar is universally considered to be an active legend in the UFC. Pedro Munhoz’s quest to reach the same status starts by beating him on Saturday. The fifth-ranked bantamweight gets that opportunity against Edgar in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar as the former lightweight champion makes his debut at bantamweight. Their fight headlines the bill from the Apex facility in Las Vegas, with the main UFC fight card scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET.

Edgar is trying to reinvent himself at UFC on ESPN following a 3-4 stretch in the lightweight and featherweight divisions, but he faces a major challenge from Munhoz, who can climb the air-tight bantamweight rankings with another impressive win. Munhoz is a -240 favorite (risk $240 to win $100), while Edgar is a +200 underdog in the latest Edgar vs. Munhoz odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, Alonzo Menifield (-125) and Ovince St. Preux (+105) meet in a light heavyweight battle. Before making any UFC Fight Night picks of your own, make sure you check out what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say, considering the epic run he’s on.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event. 

Over the past 18 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $20,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on fire as he has connected on 16 of his last 19 main-event selections, a stretch that included a streak of five straight underdogs. At UFC 252 last Saturday, Marley accurately predicted a decision victory for Vinc Pichel (-125) against Jim Miller (+105) in their action-packed lightweight bout behind his spot-on assessment that Pichel would flourish in the final round. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available here

Munhoz vs. Edgar preview

Marley knows the 33-year-old Munhoz (18-4-1) has been considered a potential title-contender since his UFC debut in February 2014. All four of his UFC losses have come against fighters who are still ranked, with three of them in the top 10. 

The Brazil-born Californian had perhaps the biggest win of his career when he knocked out former titleholder and third-ranked Cody Garbrandt in March of last year. But he was outclassed three months later by the second-ranked Sterling, who now appears to be in line for a title bout against new champion Petr Yan. 

Marley also knows Edgar (23-8-1) is widely regarded as a UFC legend who has been involved in numerous memorable bouts. He won the lightweight championship in 2010 against fellow icon B.J. Penn and made three successful defenses before dropping a pair of bouts against Benson Henderson, who is now in Bellator. 

But the New Jersey native is just 1-3 in his last four appearances, with the lone victory coming against fading former contender Cub Swanson. He was stopped by Chan Sung Jung in the first round of their December bout and also suffered a first-round knockout loss in 2018 against Brian Ortega, who is ranked No. 2 at featherweight. You can see all of Marley’s Munhoz vs. Edgar picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night predictions here: He is backing Marcin Prachino (+190) to pull the upset of Mike Rodriguez (-220) in a battle of light heavyweight prospects.

Rodriguez (10-4-1) joined the UFC following four consecutive knockout victories in the Classic Sports and Entertainment promotion followed by a first-round stoppage of Jamelle Jones on “Dana White’s Contender Series.” However, the 31-year-old Boston native has had trouble finding traction on the big stage, with a 1-2-1 mark in four UFC appearances. 

Prachino (13-4), 31, is similarly looking for his UFC breakthrough following losses in his first two bouts with the promotion. However, the Polish fighter arguably has faced stiffer competition, with losses coming against veterans Sam Alvey and Magomed Ankalaev. 

“Prachnio should be the fighter with more power and he is very live for an upset knockout if he doesn’t get stopped himself,” Marley told SportsLine. “Prachnio can also keep this fight close and win on the scorecards if he doesn’t get a finish.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Munhoz picks

Marley also has strong picks for Edgar vs. Munhoz and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He is also backing one fighter who “will dominate every second.” Those selections are only available here

Who wins Edgar vs. Munhoz? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Munhoz, all from the incomparable expert who’s up nearly $20,000 on MMA in the past 18 months and nailed 16 of the last 19 main events, and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds

Pedro Munhoz (-240) vs. Frankie Edgar (+200)
Alonzo Menifield (-125) vs. Ovince St. Preux (+105)
Mike Rodriguez (-220) vs. Marcin Prachino (+190)
Daniel Rodriguez (-175) vs. Takashi Soto (+155)
Mizuki Inoue (-165) vs. Amanda Lemos (+145)
Joe Solecki (-140) vs. Austin Hubbard (+120)
Mariya Agapova (-1,100) vs. Shana Dobson (+700)
Dwight Grant (-165) vs. Jared Gooden (+145)
Ike Villanueva (-115) vs. Jorge Gonzalez (-105)
Timur Valiev (-500) vs. Mark Striegl (+400)